← IKI Store Championship PTM Season
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at IKI Store Championship PTM Season
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.2% | +9.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 66.5% | +15.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.5% | -9.2 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.4 |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Chess | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +23.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Harness Lightning | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ducal Seal | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |